Author Topic: Just wondering  (Read 27247 times)

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Puddington

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #75 on: November 25, 2011, 07:42:47 PM »
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PRR guys.......you think you got problems...? Try modeling the CPR, what with all their in house cars and locomotives, odd ball, CPR only designs and the fact that it's cold up here and on one loves us...sniff...sniff..tear....   

Applies to pretty much anything in Canada.  Yeah, I know they made a CN SD40W in N, 'cause we don't say nasty things about IM on forums...  We love IM, and buy their stuff all the time.

Ya, you tell em Scottl.......we got more than snow, ya know..........LOL :facepalm:
Model railroading isn't saving my life, but it's providing me moments of joy not normally associated with my current situation..... Train are good!

inkaneer

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #76 on: November 25, 2011, 09:27:27 PM »
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If Kato made what you want, you'd quietly order it on line, and ask that it be shipped in a plain brown wrapper...  The manufacturers DO cater to the market by producing models that will have enough mass appeal that they can run sufficient numbers to keep the unit price reasonable.  Ergo, just because there are a few squeaky wheels demanding a Baldwin AS-16, or a PRR K-4, doesn't mean that a manufacturer is going to be willing to front the considerable capital to take such a risk.

Yes, it would be nice to have an AS-16, but it is a rather dull looking engine, and the prototype was not widely popular so there aren't that many paint schemes that would appeal to the collector crowd.

I don't know what the short answer is, but with current economic conditions, I don't see anyone going too far out on any limbs...

Lee

If, as you say, manufacturers do cater to the market then how do you explain why they ignore the two railroads with arguably the largest following?   Seems to me one would want to cater to them.   Also where is all the market reseach that says PRR and B&O does not sell?  Show me.  Betcha 2-1 it doesn't exist.  The fact is that decisions are made in this industry based on proprietary wants rather than marketing research.   Now to prove me wrong all you have to do is produce the research.     

wm3798

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #77 on: November 25, 2011, 09:45:04 PM »
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They don't.  Whatever diesels have been appropriate to paint in PRR and B&O that have been mass produced have been sold in those paint schemes, for the most part.  Even Kato did F-3's and F-7's for B&O.  Both have also been represented in steam, usually by sticking fairly accurate paint schemes on very inaccurate locomotives.  But diesels are not steam locomotives.  You can get "close enough" with diesels and still be economical with production numbers, while discerning modelers will not be satisfied with inaccurate steam.

If you've been paying attention, and knew anything at all about both of these railroads, you'd know that they both designed and built a lot of their own steam locomotives.  While the B&O utilized a number of USRA designs, they also had a number their own, most notably the President series pacifics, and the EM-1 articulated.  Likewise, the PRR developed a whole host of locomotives that suited their very specific purposes.

With very few exceptions, model railroad manufacturers these days are loathe to produce rolling stock that can't be offered in a wide range of paint schemes.  The exceptions would be small, independent shops like FVM and ESM, which produce relatively small runs of very unique equipment.  Steam on the B&O, and especially on the PRR, is NOT something you can simply paint another road name on and expect to boost sales.

There are two, and only two, realistic possibilities of seeing any of these highly specialized locomotives produced in plastic:
1) Kato decides that they've done well enough with the Broadway and the GG-1 that a nicely done K-4 is a logical extension of that line, OR

2) FVM decides that it sold the Milwaukee Hiawatha in sufficient numbers to try another "name" train, and decides for a B&O streamlined Cincinnatian, or a steam era Broadway.

More remote possibilities would be someone like Bachmann offering their K-4 in N (It's been a couple of decades since the HO one was introduced, so don't hold your breath), or Walther's following the Berkshire and Y-6B with an EM-1.  (Right, Walthers doing anything new in N scale... :facepalm:)

My suggestion would be to follow Bussey's advice.  Pony up the cash and make it happen.  As Clarkson would quip... "How hard can it be?"
Lee

« Last Edit: November 25, 2011, 09:49:37 PM by wm3798 »
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lock4244

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #78 on: November 25, 2011, 10:02:19 PM »
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PRR guys.......you think you got problems...? Try modeling the CPR, what with all their in house cars and locomotives, odd ball, CPR only designs and the fact that it's cold up here and on one loves us...sniff...sniff..tear....   

Applies to pretty much anything in Canada.  Yeah, I know they made a CN SD40W in N, 'cause we don't say nasty things about IM on forums...  We love IM, and buy their stuff all the time.

I love IM. My fleet of cylindricals is huge (in the several hundreds) and I've seven of the SD40-2W's, and will get two or three from the second run. Sure they're not perfect, maybe far from it, but no one else is ever gonna do them (even if IM hadn't, not likely anyone else would have), so as I've said many times, if an mfg does a Canadian prototype, I'll support them.

Support the mfg's that make stuff for your road, and they're likely to make more.

Stop buying Kato BNSF stuff

inkaneer

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #79 on: November 25, 2011, 10:25:32 PM »
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They don't.  Whatever diesels have been appropriate to paint in PRR and B&O that have been mass produced have been sold in those paint schemes, for the most part.  Even Kato did F-3's and F-7's for B&O.  Both have also been represented in steam, usually by sticking fairly accurate paint schemes on very inaccurate locomotives.  But diesels are not steam locomotives.  You can get "close enough" with diesels and still be economical with production numbers, while discerning modelers will not be satisfied with inaccurate steam.

If you've been paying attention, and knew anything at all about both of these railroads, you'd know that they both designed and built a lot of their own steam locomotives.  While the B&O utilized a number of USRA designs, they also had a number their own, most notably the President series pacifics, and the EM-1 articulated.  Likewise, the PRR developed a whole host of locomotives that suited their very specific purposes.

With very few exceptions, model railroad manufacturers these days are loathe to produce rolling stock that can't be offered in a wide range of paint schemes.  The exceptions would be small, independent shops like FVM and ESM, which produce relatively small runs of very unique equipment.  Steam on the B&O, and especially on the PRR, is NOT something you can simply paint another road name on and expect to boost sales.

There are two, and only two, realistic possibilities of seeing any of these highly specialized locomotives produced in plastic:
1) Kato decides that they've done well enough with the Broadway and the GG-1 that a nicely done K-4 is a logical extension of that line, OR

2) FVM decides that it sold the Milwaukee Hiawatha in sufficient numbers to try another "name" train, and decides for a B&O streamlined Cincinnatian, or a steam era Broadway.

More remote possibilities would be someone like Bachmann offering their K-4 in N (It's been a couple of decades since the HO one was introduced, so don't hold your breath), or Walther's following the Berkshire and Y-6B with an EM-1.  (Right, Walthers doing anything new in N scale... :facepalm:)

My suggestion would be to follow Bussey's advice.  Pony up the cash and make it happen.  As Clarkson would quip... "How hard can it be?"
Lee

Why can't anyone here stick to the issue?   This is not about diesels or rolling stock.   It's about people either leaving N scale or not even bothering with Nscale becuse they cannot get what they want.  Someone out there tell me that a Hiawatha will outsell a K4.    I don't believe it will so show me the market research that says it will.  The Hiawatha was made because the owner of the company was a fan of the Milwaukee road.  I have no problem with that.  It's his company to with as he wishes.  But don't tell me that someone spent all this money on researching the market and that was why the Hiawatha was made.  That is a bunch of hooey.  Market research today is limited to announcing a product and if the orders don't pour in then cancel it.   

As for making a locomotive myself if anyone has been paying attention will know I already stated that I retired from the business world and have no intentions of ever re-entering it.   Doing quite well with Social Security[you guys keep working ya hear] and two pensions with COLA's  so I really don't need or want the hassle that is business today.    I'm quite satisfied just to drive my school bus and go fishing betweem runs.  Okay, somedays I don't go fishing I just go to the pool.    But you guys expect me to give this up?    You're kidding, right? 

jmlaboda - RIP

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #80 on: November 25, 2011, 10:35:07 PM »
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"Walther's following the Berkshire and Y-6B..."

What Y6b?  Walthers doesn't make a Y6b.  Now Concor/Rivarossi did a Berkshire and Y6b... but...

N-scale continues to grow and with that growth comes more modelers to our preferred scale.  Why more hasn't been done in PRR is a curiosity to me because I know that there is a demand for it (good example 445 members of the PRR N-scale group at Yahoo! Groups).  B&O I am not so sure of (71 in the B&O group)... but I just don't know.  One thing is certain, two things for sure... if they continue to go further and further into doing a variety of road specific steam they will yet get to the models that you want.  It is just a matter of time.  (Curious that Athearn hasn't offered Challengers for more than just UP... I would think that there are modelers of the other roads that have them that would welcome them as well... but maybe there simply isn't all that many modelers.)

It would appear that some of the new road specific steam has been selling well and that is a good thing... other manufacturers will look at that and start thinking about a narrower market, at least to a point.  But finding the manufacturer who is interested in doing the road that you want isn't exactly the easiest of things to do... I think it would be a stretch for a left coast manufacturer (left coast in regards to preferences, not locations) to consider doing something for the right coast... though I could be wrong.

Getting together to write manufacturers as a group of modelers, each writing to them to ask for specific models, would be a good way to get some attention, and don't just look at manufacturers who do steam.  There is power in numbers and if a couple hundred modelers write about specific models you are going to get more attention than just a few dozen writing.

Look at the Micro-Trains heavyweights.  Quite a number of people had contacted them since they first released their troop cars, which were their first venture into the passenger car arena... and the sales of their cars has been very noticeable to other manufacturers.  Their marketing of the cars as singles and in sets has set a president that hasn't been been seen in a number of years and I believe we will see other manufacturers looking at selling individual cars more seriously... not to mention a closer look by others (besides MT and Wheels of Time) as far as venturing into the N-scale passenger car market.  But this is, in part, because people clearly made it known that there was an interest.

We (the N-scale market) have a part that we will need to play and we can't just talk about it on forums.  If we really want N-scale to be taken more seriously or want our road to be considered more seriously it will take letting manufacturers know we are interested and what we are interested in.  If people can't get organized to go in pursuit of such we might as well just sit and accept what we are offered.  Like N-scale has done in the past for a very long time.

jmlaboda - RIP

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #81 on: November 25, 2011, 10:42:16 PM »
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More on the point... would folks following this thread accept boiler shells to fit existing quality chassis or must they be complete locomotives only?  GHQ offered a few boiler conversions but I don't see them often in shots of folks modeling and they appear to not be interested in trying any more... if more detail was included in a cast resin shell would there be interest?  Some really fine boiler shells have started to appear... is there a market for such (not trying to poll interest, just trying to gain a little understanding of people's mind set)?

Dave V

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #82 on: November 25, 2011, 10:50:16 PM »
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More on the point... would folks following this thread accept boiler shells to fit existing quality chassis or must they be complete locomotives only?  GHQ offered a few boiler conversions but I don't see them often in shots of folks modeling and they appear to not be interested in trying any more... if more detail was included in a cast resin shell would there be interest?  Some really fine boiler shells have started to appear... is there a market for such (not trying to poll interest, just trying to gain a little understanding of people's mind set)?

YES.

SkipGear

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #83 on: November 25, 2011, 06:56:23 PM »
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Editorial:
Quote
  I see good times ahead for B&O modelers thanks to FVM (Wagontop HO & N), Exactrail (Wagontop HO), and Bachmann's (EM-1 HO) announcements this year. TheFVM wagontop was huge sucess and has sold out most everywhere. We sold more of the Wagontops in N scale than any other single car type since I have been at the shop. For a shop that normally orders cars in 2's and 3's, I ordered 45 of the N scale wagontops and we are down to I think 4-5 left. It doesn't hurt that we are in B&O country but just the same. That is an outstanding result and shows that there is a demand. We will see what happens with the Exactrail offering, it could be good or bad for the situations. If they flood the market and sales taper off, then it could hurt. If they sell out quickly, even better for us. The EM-1 will be the final deciding factor. If these all sell well, I see more B&O specific in the future.

As far as the idea of replacement boilers, once again it comes down to the complexity of the project. Steam has a lot more appliances and details to apply and the conversions can be daunting for the average person. I'm all for boiler conversions myself (i've created a few on my own) but being that N scale is tagged as "the RTR scale" it makes them a lot less appealing as a mass market item.

Our thread starter is the perfect example of the RTR mentality. We have already pointed out a few ways to come up with a very respectible K4 from existing items and some effort yet he wants one available RTR. If he wanted a K4 bad enough, he could build one or contract someone else to do it for him. I know Max and Victor have both done various K4 improvements and bashes and Max just did a contracted one for Eric220 I believe.
Tony Hines

wm3798

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #84 on: November 25, 2011, 11:01:16 PM »
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I used diesels and rolling stock to illustrate my point.  You CAN produce massive quantities of same, slap numerous paint schemes on them, and sell enough to cover your nut.  You PROBABLY will not have the same luck with a highly specialized car and/or locomotive (such as a single road name beast like the K-4).

I'm not suggesting that Matt had a bunch of charts and graphs that led to the Hiawatha project.  Odds are, it was a personal pet project.  But he also had established a pretty strong track record for sales of Milwaukee specific products via the ribbed boxcars, and he's savvy enough to see that a colorful, unique, and custom train SET would find a market both with Milwaukee fans as well as collectors at large.

Jerry Britton already told you that the research that he does among PRR modelers comes up short in terms of demand for a K-4.  While not scientific, it's still a pretty good focus group.  For the umpteenth time, it costs a lot to develop an N scale steam locomotive from the rails up.  This is not an economy that encourages any kind of risk for such a low production, potentially high priced/low margin item.  Sheeyit.  Atlas has delayed production of the ubiquitous GP7/9 models by another 6 months due to a variety of factors.  That's existing tooling of an extremely popular model.

In light of those facts, I can't see how you can continue to argue that this would be a viable project, much less a smash hit.
Lee
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wcfn100

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #85 on: November 25, 2011, 11:05:53 PM »
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If, as you say, manufacturers do cater to the market then how do you explain why they ignore the two railroads with arguably the largest following? 

I explain the first part by saying the second part is a fallacy. 

I too have yet to see any market research on the popularity of the PRR.   What I have seen is a failed PRR M-1 project, a poor selling Broadway Limited and the Minitrix PRR steamers no longer getting made.

Might be time to call a duck a duck.

Jason
« Last Edit: November 25, 2011, 11:09:29 PM by wcfn100 »

Dave V

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #86 on: November 25, 2011, 11:28:51 PM »
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Pennsy is immensely popular...  in HO and O.

So the argument is that N scale Pennsy is a self-licking ice cream cone.  Manufacturers can't sell what PRR they do make, yet who's to know if that's because SPFs already left N for HO and weren't there anymore to buy, preferring instead to by Walther's Broadway Limited and BLI's M1 in HO, or if Pennsy's just not popular in N.  At least that's how I read this thread...  The world will never know.

However, I take umbrage with the implication that the failed M1 from PCM was simply a lack of buyer interest.  There was a whole lot of shenanifoonery involved in the whole "Precision Craft Models" fiasco, and interest was probably never accurately measured.

bbussey

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #87 on: November 25, 2011, 08:39:37 PM »
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Manufacturers are aware however of what they have sold in the past.  People seem to forget that little caveat sometimes.  Atlas has been around since the beginning of N scale.  I would think they would be familiar after 45 years with the trends regarding Pennsylvania-decorated equipment, along with all the other roads.   The other major manufacturers have been around for at least two or three decades.  That is the empirical data against the unsubstantiated argument that sales of an N scale K-4 would cover the tooling costs and then some.

If such a large following of N scale Pennsy modelers exists and will buy what they've been asking for ... the Broadway Limited was high on the list of items that have been asked for from Kato ever since the first release of the California Zephyr, yet it is the least selling of all the Kato consists.  You're not going to see manufacturers rushing to invest in a Pennsy-specific steam engine when the latest Pennsy-specific items that had never before been offered in N scale (nor in HO scale at the time of release) didn't recoup the tooling investment.  And to say it's due to modelers abandoning N for HO is ludicrous, as well as unsubstantiated.  The percent of market share for HO and N have held relatively steady over the past 30 years, so there is no evidence of an N-to-HO exodus due to lack of available models.


« Last Edit: November 26, 2011, 12:53:53 AM by bbussey »
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Dave V

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #88 on: November 26, 2011, 12:54:01 AM »
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...when the latest Pennsy-specific items that had never before been offered in N scale (nor in HO scale at the time of release) didn't recoup the tooling investment.

Is this a fact or conjecture?  I've heard that sales were "disappointing," but that could run the gamut between not making high enough stacks of greenage to actually failing to recoup costs.  Did they actually lose money on the Broadway?

bbussey

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Re: Just wondering
« Reply #89 on: November 26, 2011, 12:59:33 AM »
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Is this a fact or conjecture?  I've heard that sales were "disappointing," but that could run the gamut between not making high enough stacks of greenage to actually failing to recoup costs.  Did they actually lose money on the Broadway?

It takes more than one release of an item (or a large number of sales on one release) to recoup tooling costs on any project.  The initial Broadway Limited run did not sell out.  The "second run" consisted of utilizing three of the Broadway cars in the Penn Central set, which helps but doesn't compensate for the first run.  The Penn Central set also remains available.
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